Projection data of average rainfall intensity for Hong Kong
Projection data of average rainfall intensity for Hong Kong |
Projected 20-year average of average rainfall intensity (annual rainfall divided by the number of rain days, unit in mm/day) in Hong Kong under different greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. Average rainfall intensity in Hong Kong during 1995-2014 is 23.8mm/day.
Low SSP1-2.6 |
Intermediate SSP2-4.5 |
High SSP3-7.0 |
Very high SSP5-8.5 |
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Mean | Likely range | Mean | Likely range | Mean | Likely range | Mean | Likely range | |
2021-2040 | 24.8 | 22.9 – 26.3 | 25.0 | 23.4 – 26.5 | 24.5 | 22.7 – 26.9 | 24.9 | 23.0 – 27.1 |
2031-2050 | 25.2 | 23.2 – 27.2 | 24.9 | 22.7 – 27.0 | 24.6 | 22.6 – 27.1 | 25.0 | 22.9 – 27.5 |
2041-2060 | 25.4 | 23.0 – 27.6 | 25.5 | 23.7 – 27.5 | 25.0 | 23.0 – 27.3 | 25.6 | 23.8 – 28.0 |
2051-2070 | 25.5 | 23.7 – 27.5 | 25.7 | 23.7 – 28.0 | 25.3 | 22.4 – 27.6 | 26.3 | 23.7 – 28.9 |
2061-2080 | 25.7 | 23.8 – 27.7 | 25.6 | 24.1 – 27.7 | 25.7 | 22.5 – 28.5 | 26.6 | 23.9 – 29.6 |
2071-2090 | 25.7 | 23.6 – 28.0 | 26.2 | 24.1 – 27.9 | 26.3 | 23.9 – 29.5 | 27.2 | 24.3 – 30.5 |
2081-2100 | 25.5 | 24.2 – 27.4 | 26.4 | 23.9 – 28.8 | 27.0 | 23.8 – 31.6 | 28.3 | 24.4 – 35.3 |
The probability for the likely range to cover the outcome is at least 66%. Data source: WCRP CMIP6