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Projection data of average rainfall intensity for Hong Kong

Projection data of average rainfall intensity for Hong Kong


Projected 20-year average of average rainfall intensity (annual rainfall divided by the number of rain days, unit in mm/day) in Hong Kong under different greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. Average rainfall intensity in Hong Kong during 1995-2014 is 23.8mm/day.

Low
SSP1-2.6
Intermediate
SSP2-4.5
High
SSP3-7.0
Very high
SSP5-8.5
Mean Likely range Mean Likely range Mean Likely range Mean Likely range
2021-2040 24.8 22.9 – 26.3 25.0 23.4 – 26.5 24.5 22.7 – 26.9 24.9 23.0 – 27.1
2031-2050 25.2 23.2 – 27.2 24.9 22.7 – 27.0 24.6 22.6 – 27.1 25.0 22.9 – 27.5
2041-2060 25.4 23.0 – 27.6 25.5 23.7 – 27.5 25.0 23.0 – 27.3 25.6 23.8 – 28.0
2051-2070 25.5 23.7 – 27.5 25.7 23.7 – 28.0 25.3 22.4 – 27.6 26.3 23.7 – 28.9
2061-2080 25.7 23.8 – 27.7 25.6 24.1 – 27.7 25.7 22.5 – 28.5 26.6 23.9 – 29.6
2071-2090 25.7 23.6 – 28.0 26.2 24.1 – 27.9 26.3 23.9 – 29.5 27.2 24.3 – 30.5
2081-2100 25.5 24.2 – 27.4 26.4 23.9 – 28.8 27.0 23.8 – 31.6 28.3 24.4 – 35.3

The probability for the likely range to cover the outcome is at least 66%. Data source: WCRP CMIP6

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