Projection data of annual number of extreme rainfall days for Hong Kong
Projection data of annual number of extreme rainfall days for Hong Kong |
Projected 20-year average of annual number of extreme rainfall days (daily rainfall ≥ 100 mm) in Hong Kong under different greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. Average annual number of extreme rainfall days in Hong Kong during 1995-2014 is 4.3.
| Low SSP1-2.6 |
Intermediate SSP2-4.5 |
High SSP3-7.0 |
Very high SSP5-8.5 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | Likely range | Mean | Likely range | Mean | Likely range | Mean | Likely range | |
| 2021-2040 | 4.7 | 4.0 – 5.8 | 4.7 | 4.0 – 5.5 | 4.5 | 3.8 – 5.2 | 4.7 | 3.7 – 5.9 |
| 2031-2050 | 4.9 | 3.8 – 6.4 | 4.7 | 3.7 – 5.8 | 4.6 | 3.7 – 5.4 | 4.7 | 3.9 – 5.8 |
| 2041-2060 | 5.0 | 3.9 – 6.4 | 4.9 | 3.8 – 5.9 | 4.7 | 4.0 – 5.8 | 5.0 | 4.0 – 6.1 |
| 2051-2070 | 4.9 | 3.9 – 6.1 | 4.9 | 3.9 – 6.0 | 4.9 | 3.6 – 6.1 | 5.3 | 3.8 – 6.7 |
| 2061-2080 | 5.0 | 4.2 – 6.0 | 4.9 | 4.1 – 6.1 | 4.9 | 4.0 – 6.1 | 5.4 | 4.1 – 6.7 |
| 2071-2090 | 5.0 | 3.7 – 6.1 | 5.3 | 4.2 – 6.6 | 5.0 | 3.8 – 6.5 | 5.6 | 4.3 – 6.9 |
| 2081-2100 | 5.0 | 4.1 – 5.8 | 5.3 | 4.0 – 6.6 | 5.5 | 4.1 – 7.3 | 6.0 | 4.3 – 8.6 |
The probability for the likely range to cover the outcome is at least 66%. Data source: WCRP CMIP6