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Projection data of very hot days for Hong Kong

Projection data of very hot days for Hong Kong


Projected 20-year average of annual number of very hot days (days with a maximum temperature of 33°C or above) in Hong Kong under different greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. Average annual number of very hot days in Hong Kong during 1995-2014 is 14.

Low
SSP1-2.6
Intermediate
SSP2-4.5
High
SSP3-7.0
Very high
SSP5-8.5
Mean Likely range Mean Likely range Mean Likely range Mean Likely range
2021-2040 45 31 – 65 45 27 – 63 43 28 – 63 49 31 – 73
2031-2050 53 34 – 79 54 34 – 82 54 36 – 82 63 37 – 92
2041-2060 58 34 – 82 65 42 – 100 68 44 – 101 81 53 – 121
2051-2070 60 31 – 86 75 48 – 112 84 54 – 123 100 69 – 142
2061-2080 61 32 – 92 82 53 – 119 98 64 – 148 118 77 – 170
2071-2090 62 30 – 93 89 58 – 130 111 77 – 163 135 88 – 187
2081-2100 60 27 – 90 95 58 – 137 124 86 – 176 152 104 – 202

The probability for the likely range to cover the outcome is at least 66%. Data source: WCRP CMIP6

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