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Projection data of hot nights for Hong Kong

Projection data of hot nights for Hong Kong


Projected 20-year average of annual number of hot nights (days with a minimum temperature of 28°C or above) in Hong Kong under different greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. Average annual number of hot nights in Hong Kong during 1995-2014 is 21.

Low
SSP1-2.6
Intermediate
SSP2-4.5
High
SSP3-7.0
Very high
SSP5-8.5
Mean Likely range Mean Likely range Mean Likely range Mean Likely range
2021-2040 63 38 – 104 62 33 – 101 59 30 – 103 65 33 – 105
2031-2050 72 45 – 112 75 44 – 115 74 40 – 122 85 53 – 125
2041-2060 78 47 – 120 87 54 – 128 90 56 – 135 104 68 – 143
2051-2070 81 43 – 122 97 64 – 136 107 71 – 147 121 84 – 158
2061-2080 84 45 – 124 104 67 – 142 120 84 – 157 138 104 – 172
2071-2090 84 45 – 127 111 71 – 147 133 96 – 168 153 119 – 186
2081-2100 81 40 – 128 117 78 – 153 145 108 – 177 167 130 – 201

The probability for the likely range to cover the outcome is at least 66%. Data source: WCRP CMIP6

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