Tropical Cyclone Warning for Shipping
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Bulletin issued at 21:30 HKT 27/Nov/2014
Tropical Cyclone Warning
At 271200 UTC, the tropical depression over the southern part of the Philippines with central pressure 998 hectopascals was centred within 90 nautical miles of one zero point one degrees north (10.1 N) one two zero point five degrees east (120.5 E) and is forecast to move west or west-northwest at about 15 knots for the next 24 hours.
Maximum winds near the centre are estimated to be 30 knots.
Radius of over 2 metre waves 120 nautical miles.
Forecast position and intensity at 281200 UTC
One one point eight degrees north (11.8 N)
One one four point seven degrees east (114.7 E)
Maximum winds 40 knots.
Forecast position and intensity at 291200 UTC
One two point nine degrees north (12.9 N)
One one zero point one degrees east (110.1 E)
Maximum winds 50 knots.
Forecast position and intensity at 301200 UTC
One three point seven degrees north (13.7 N)
One zero five point six degrees east (105.6 E)
Maximum winds 35 knots.
The Hong Kong Observatory's tropical cyclone warnings for shipping are issued about one and a half hours after the time of observation. They incorporate additional information derived from surface and upper-air data and may therefore be slightly different from the real-time satellite or radar-based positions given in the hourly bulletins for public.
The uncertainties, based on average errors, of the latest analysed position and 24, 48 and 72-hour forecast positions are of the order of 30, 150, 250 and 350 kilometres respectively.
Tropical Cyclone Track